相依事件的概率

剩下的35张取到1的概率36张卡片,分别1-9的四种花色(方块,红桃,梅花,黑桃)的卡片。
随机取出9张,其中有四张是1的概率是多少?

解法1

P(all 4 cards is 1 in my hand of 9) = (# of ways in which event can happened)/(the total # of hands)

total # of hands = $\frac{363534333231302928}{987654321}$

the # of hands with 4 1’s = $\frac{11113231302928}{54321}$

P(all 4 cards is 1 in my hand of 9) = $\frac{11113231302928}{54321} \frac{987654321}{3635343332313029*28}$= $\frac{2}{935}$

解法2
取到一张1的概率 剩下的35张取到1的概率 剩下的34张取到1的概率 剩下的33张取到1的概率
$\frac{1}{36}*9$ $\frac{1}{35}*8$ $\frac{1}{34}*7$ $\frac{1}{33}*6$
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